By Nicos Christodoulakis
This ebook offers a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the commercial expenses linked to civil wars. the writer develops converted Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield reasonable representations of conflict approaches, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the commercial expenditures of civil wars are evaluated with assistance from replacement tools: first of all, the writer employs a construction functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines monetary progress within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops a man-made regulate procedure, the place the associated fee is received because the divergence of exact financial task from a hypothetical direction within the absence of civil struggle. the variation among the 2 ways offers a sign of the hostile externalities impinging upon the economic system within the kind of institutional destruction. through the use of particular time-series relating to conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic signs, and capital inventory destruction through the Greek Civil struggle (1946-1949), a full-scale program of the above framework is gifted and discussed.
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An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 by Nicos Christodoulakis